Le Gall 12.11. This is Rademacher’s theorem
Le Gall 12.14. Another proof of the strong law
Le Gall 12.15 Law of the Iterated Logarithm
Le Gall 12.12. Consider a sequence of with the special property
Show that it is a martingale, and compute its limit
Le Gall 12.13. Polya’s Urn redux.
Le Gall 12.16. Kakutani’s theorem about products of positive random variables.
Le Gall 12.17. Let be a sequence of independent Bernoulli random variables with . Let be any sequence of positive numbers. Let
Prove that converges if is in .
We will continue working through Le Gall’s exercises, all of which are tastefully chosen. We have also found our first typo in Le Gall in Homework 3!
Polya’s Urn. An urn contains red and green balls. At each turn, we take a ball out uniformly at random. Then, we replace it and add more balls of the same color. Let be the fraction of green balls.
Prove that Doob’s maximal inequalities imply Kolmogorov’s inequalities.
Le Gall 12.2 Prove that and so on.
Le Gall 12.3 Suppose . Then and .
Le Gall 12.4 Let be a simple random walk and satisfy
Show that is a martingale (among other things).
Le Gall 12.5 Prove that an adapted process is a martingale iff for every bounded stopping time .
Le Gall 12.6 A preview of uniform integrability. Let be a martingale, and let be a stopping time such that
Prove that . Conclude that .
A (discrete) semimartingale is any process that can be written as where is a martingale, and is a bounded variation process; i.e., $Z_n = U_n - V_n$ where $U_n,V_n$ are adapted processes that are increasing in $n$. Prove that any semimartingale can be written as a difference of a submartingale and a supermartingale.
Suppose are stopping times. Show that
a.
b.
are stopping times.
Let be a stopping time. Let be a martingale. Prove that is integrable and
in each of the following situations.
a. $T$ is bounded almost surely (proved in class)
b. $X$ is bounded and $T$ is $\almostsurely$ finite
c. and for some ,
Let $X$ be a supermartingale and $T$ be stopping time. Let $C^T$ be the process defined by
a. Show that $C^T_n$ is previsible. Let
b. Show that $Y = X_{T \land n}$ and that it is a supermartingale. Use this to show that
Let $X$ be a submartingale, and for $\lambda \in \R$, let
a. Show that $T$ is a stopping time.
b. Show that
Prove the following basic properites of conditional expectation. We are working on a space .
Let be a collection of iid random variables. If is a tail-measurable function, show that is a constant.
a. If is a random variable with continuous distribution and is such that , show that
b. (From textbook) Let be an absolutely continuous random varaible with piecewise-continuous density . Prove that for every non-negative measurable ,
Even though for all , use the preceding to justify the classical definition,
a. If is a martingale and is convex, then is a submartingale if for all . b. If is a submartingale, then is a submartingale if is nondecreasing in addition to convex and integrable.
Suppose is a submartingale bounded in . Show that